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Stern Value Mangement Interview Vasishta Atmuri Presentation

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Stern Value Mangement Interview Vasishta Atmuri Presentation
Ford Motor Company
Valuation Business Case
Stern Value Management Interview

Vasishta Atmuri
December 5, 2014

Ford Motor Co. Analysis| Stern Value Management Interview

Introduction

Ford Motor Co. manufactures and sells cars and is the sixth-largest car maker

Stock Price in $

20

1000000000
800000000
600000000
400000000
200000000
0

15
10
5

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Ticker

F

Date, as of

12/03/2014

Stock Price

$16.01

P/E

10.47x

Market Cap (mm)

$61,617

Dividend Yield
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) - Volume
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) - Share Pricing
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) - Share Pricing (Announced/Completed Transactions)

Shares Out. (mm)

3.1%
3,848

RECENT NEWS
MANAGEMENT
Ford, William Clay

Executive Chairman, Chairman of Finance
Committee

Fields, Mark
Shanks, Robert L.

Chief Executive Officer, President and Director
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice
President

Rowley, Stuart J.

Chief Accounting Officer, Vice President and
Controller

Ford Motor Co. Analysis| Stern Value Management Interview

• Ford is the top seller in Canada as car sales rose 4% in November; Yearly sales of 269K
• Car prices rise in November with Ford’s average car price increasing +2.6% to
$35,832; foreign makers such as Honda and Volkswagen saw a reverse trend
• Decline in oil prices result in stock price increases for automobile manufacturers • Like all manufacturers, Ford is plagued by recalls of models such as Lincoln and Ford Crossovers

Financial Performance: Indicators

Sales and profitability metrics indicate declining performance
Revenue, Gross Margin and Net Income Margin
150000

25%

145000
Revenue in $billion10.2%
140000
135000

16.0%

13.9%
6.4%

5.1%

2.3%

13.3%

12.9%

12.3%

4.2%

4.9%

4.2%

15%

Growth rate and Margins

5%

130000
-5%

125000
120000

-15%

115000
110000

Dec-31-2009A
Total Revenue

Dec-31-2010A

Dec-31-2011A

Growth Over Prior Year

Return

Gross Margin

Dec-31-2013A

Sep-30-2014A

-25%

Net Income Margin

OBSERVATIONS

Return on Assets, Return
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