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Home Depot Inc. in the New Millennium

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Home Depot Inc. in the New Millennium
Home Depot Inc. in The New Millennium

1. Avalie o desempenho financeiro da Home Depot de 1986 até 1999. Como a companhia atingiu um desempenho tão espetacular? O que explica o declínio no desempenho em 2000?

A Home Depot apresentou crescimento estrondoso de 1986 a 1999. As vendas da companhia passaram de US$1 bi para US$45 bi em menos de 15 anos; de 60 para mais de mil lojas; de varejista do sunbelt americano para multinacional com presença no Canadá, Porto Rico e Chile. A empresa conseguiu conciliar essa expansão com ROA e margem NOPAT estáveis, de cerca de 20% e 5%, respectivamente, e sem apresentar alavancagem financeira excessiva. Os indicadores de working capital/sales, ticket médio e vendas semanais por loja tiveram melhoras substanciais ao longo dos anos. Em suma, a varejista conseguiu crescer acima da média do setor e da economia com melhorias operacionais e sem comprometer sua saúde financeira. Esse resultado é fruto da estratégia diferenciada e da eficiência operacional da Home Depot. Através da implementação dos conceitos de Do-It-Yourself, Big-Box merchandising (estrutura de lojas warehouse com estoques visíveis) e da aliança de preços baixos com serviço de qualidade, a empresa praticamente criou um novo modelo de venda de materiais de home improvement. A aceitação foi imediata e revolucionou o setor, catalisando processos de consolidação e inspirando diversos concorrentes a adotarem o mesmo modelo. O resultado aquém do esperado em 2000, em nossa visão foi causado principalmente por dois fatores: (i) o aumento de 1,75% da taxa básica de juros americana em menos de um ano, o que esfriou o setor imobiliário como um todo e prejudicou as vendas da Home Depot; e (ii) o aumento da saturação das vendas em grandes metrópoles urbanas devido ao aumento geral do numero de lojas e de acirramento da competição – com conseqüente queda de margens – nesses mercados.

2. Qual é sua estimativa para o valor intrínseco da ação da Home

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