Assignment 1: Ocean Carriers Refer to the HBS case “Ocean Carriers” and answer the questions below. Each student must turn in a hardcopy of her/his solution and answers in class at the start of the week-4 lecture. She/he must also up-load a softcopy of her/his solution spreadsheet on LMES by then‚ too. Note: You should complete the related textbook chapters (RWJJ Chapters 7 & 8) before attempting this case. In particular‚ you need to study the Baldwin Case first (Chapter 8.2 + material on LMES)
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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Ocean Carrier Case Study INDEX Case Background··························3 Dilemma································3 Scenarios under different tax rates and years ····························3 Alternative································5 Decision summary··························5 Appendix Ocean Carrier Case Study * Case Background Mary Linn of Ocean Carriers is evaluating the purchase of a new capesize carrier for a 3-year lease proposed by a motivated customer
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should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost = daily operating cost * 365 Because
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“Ocean Carriers” case Assume that Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1) Do you expect daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? (5 points) 2) What factors drive daily hire rates? (5 points) 3) How would you characterize the long-term prospects of the capesize dry bulk industry? (10 points) 4) Should Ms Linn purchase the $39M capsize? Make 2 different assumptions. First‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is a US firm subject to 35% taxation. Second‚ assume that
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OCEAN CARRIERS Suggested Questions and Analysis Questions: Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect the daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? Spot Charter rates fluctuated based on market conditions. Exhibit 3 displays the current order book for dry capsizes for upcoming years—much larger when compared with the current fleet size per exhibit 2. When the market demand for dry bulk capsizes is high‚ carriers can demand higher spot charter rates. When market
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Substantive Issue Ocean Carriers is a shipping company evaluating a proposed lease of a ship for a three-year period to a customer‚ beginning in 2003. The proposed leasing contract offers very attractive terms‚ but no ship in Ocean Carrier’s current fleet meets the customer’s requirements. The firm must decide if future expected cash flows warrant the considerable investment in a new ship. Objective of Case Assignment To provide your team an opportunity to make a capital budgeting decision
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Charter Rates: 6 4. ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS & RISK MITIGATION STRATEGIES 6 4.1 SWOT Analysis 6 4.2 Alternative 1: Resale of Ship after 15 years of Operation 7 4.3 Alternative 2: Leasing or buying a Second hand Ship and renovate it 7 4.4 Alternative 3: Partnering 8 4.5 Alternative 5: Actively take part in Spot Market trading 8 5. RECOMMENDATIONS 8 5.1 Conclusion 11 6. ANNEXURE 11 7. GLOSSARY 11 8. REFERENCES 11 List of Figures Figure 1: Cash flow comparison for 15 and 25 year term (NY)
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Ocean Carriers HW#7 PRINCIPLES OF MORDERN FINANCE (FALL 2012) JINGYE HAN “Ocean Carriers” case 1) Do you expect daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? I expect daily spot hire rates to decrease next year. Based on Exhibit 3‚ order book in 2002 for dry bulk capsizes decreased‚ indicating a decrease in demand. Meanwhile‚ Based on Exhibit 2‚ the majority of capsize fleets in December 2000 are in the age within 15 years‚ among them‚ the largest portion is of those under
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studymode.com/essays/Ocean-Carriers-133412.html Average daily hire rates are determined by market supply and demand. Factors such as the number of operating vessels‚ number of scrapped vessels per year‚ the age of the ships‚ the efficiency of ships‚ and market expectations of supply and demand; consequently‚ these factors drive average daily hire rates. Market conditions also drive rates since demand is dependent on the world economy. When the economy is strong‚ the demand increases‚ especially for iron
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