REPORT ON CAPESIZE PURCHASE FOR OCEAN CARRIERS Introduction The purpose of this report is to evaluate whether Ocean Carriers Inc. should immediately commission a new capesize carrier that would cost $39 million‚ and would be completed two years hence‚ in order to finalize a lease of the ship for a three-year period with a potential charterer in very good faith. The contrasting tax regulations between the two countries where the company locates its office‚ and the different cost-benefit circumstances
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Ocean Carriers Case Expectations for Daily Spot Hire Rates Next Year Iron ore and coal imports will most probably decrease the upcoming year With the increasing supply of vessels should result in a market surplus By creating this surplus‚ prices will be driven down‚ since we will have limited demand and suppliers competing Average daily rates‚ based on historical numbers‚ have a direct relationship with the number of shipments. What Factors Drive Average Daily Hire Rates? u
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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FIN 555 CASE 1 Q3 Ms.Linn should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost
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OCEAN CARRIERS CASE 1) Should Ls Linn purchase the $39M capsize? Make two different assumptions. First‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is a U.S. firm subject to a 35% statutory (and effective) marginal tax rate. Second‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is domiciled in Hong Kong for tax purposes‚ where ship owners are not required to pay any tax on profits made overseas and are also exempted from paying any tax on profit made on cargo uplifted from Hong Kong‚ i.e.‚ assume a zero tax rate. The
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“Ocean Carriers” case Assume that Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1) Do you expect daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? (5 points) 2) What factors drive daily hire rates? (5 points) 3) How would you characterize the long-term prospects of the capesize dry bulk industry? (10 points) 4) Should Ms Linn purchase the $39M capsize? Make 2 different assumptions. First‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is a US firm subject to 35% taxation. Second‚ assume that
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OCEAN CARRIERS ANALYSIS DATE: 8/29/2007 TO: MS MARY LINN CC: PROF. TOM MILLER FROM: RYAN DALE SEELKE RE: DECISION ON CAPE SIZE CARRIER PRIORITY: [URGENT] Ms Mary Linn‚ After careful cash flow analysis and a discount rate (WACC) of 9%‚ commissioning a capsize carrier for 25 years is the only appropriate option for our firm. However‚ if the discount were instead 10%‚ both options would fail the NPV test by yielding negative results. I make this recommendation after thorough analysis of
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NPV Analysis. 4 Table 3: Estimation of Resale value of Carrier @15th year 7 1. Introduction 1.1 Executive Summary Ocean Carriers Inc. (OCI) is an International provider of Marine transportation services mainly focussing on Dry Bulk commodities mainly iron ore and coal. OCI has offices located in New York and Hongkong. One of OCI’s customer’s is keen in committing for a 3 year lease starting from 2003 for a large dry bulk Capesize carrier of capacity 180‚000 DWT in order to fulfil its own interests
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Substantive Issue Ocean Carriers is a shipping company evaluating a proposed lease of a ship for a three-year period to a customer‚ beginning in 2003. The proposed leasing contract offers very attractive terms‚ but no ship in Ocean Carrier’s current fleet meets the customer’s requirements. The firm must decide if future expected cash flows warrant the considerable investment in a new ship. Objective of Case Assignment To provide your team an opportunity to make a capital budgeting decision
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Ocean Carriers HW#7 PRINCIPLES OF MORDERN FINANCE (FALL 2012) JINGYE HAN “Ocean Carriers” case 1) Do you expect daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? I expect daily spot hire rates to decrease next year. Based on Exhibit 3‚ order book in 2002 for dry bulk capsizes decreased‚ indicating a decrease in demand. Meanwhile‚ Based on Exhibit 2‚ the majority of capsize fleets in December 2000 are in the age within 15 years‚ among them‚ the largest portion is of those under
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