Programmed decisions . Programmed decisions are made in routine‚ repetitive‚ well-structured situations with predetermined decision rules. These may be based on habit‚ or established policies‚ rules and procedures and stem from prior experience or technical knowledge about what works or does not work in a given situation. For example‚ organisations often have standardised routines for handling customer complaints or employee discipline. Decisions are programmed to the extent that they are repetitive
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MD 021 - Management and Operations Capacity Planning and Decision Theory ▪ Measures of capacity ▪ Bottlenecks ▪ Capacity strategies ▪ A systematic approach to capacity decisions ▪ Make or Buy Problem ▪ Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Risk‚ Decision Trees Capacity Planning Capacity is the maximum rate of output for a facility. Capacity planning
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Tracey Lindsey Week 1-Case Analysis Managerial Decision Making January 8‚ 2012 1. Define the decision problem. The decision problem is not having a location for the user’s conference due to Hurricane Katrina. 2. As part of defining the decision problem‚ the following questions should be addressed: o What is the general nature of the problem? The general nature of the problem is not having a location due to Katrina and having to make last minute adjustments on whether to continue
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Decision Trees for Decision Making The management of a company that I shall call Stygian Chemical Industries‚ Ltd.‚ must decide whether to build a small plant or a large one to manufacture a new product with an expected market life of ten years. The decision hinges on what size the market for the product will be. Possibly demand will be high during the initial two years but‚ if many initial users find the product unsatisfactory‚ will fall to a low level thereafter. Or high initial demand might
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“Rational decision-making is an impossible ideal in strategy formulation and implementation due to incomplete information and organisational politics.” Strategy is formulated and implemented by organisations as a means of gaining competitive advantage and achieving organisational success. Frequent fast‚ widely supported‚ and high quality strategic decisions are the cornerstone of effective strategy (Eisenhardt‚ 1999 in Clegg et. Al‚ 2012). In today’s world of borderless business‚ ever-evolving
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Decision making from cognitive or normative perspective can be defined as the process of selecting best logical choice from various available options and choices. Majority of decisions in business are normative as they are based on logical decision making. Dr. Yost describes decision making as a concept on a continuum of conscientiousness and depth of deliberations. On one end of spectrum is conscious‚ well thought of‚ rational decision making‚ in between “real world” bounded rationality and at
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Decision-making models‚ or the path that one would choose in his or her decision-making‚ is heavily relied on the information one has received. By having all the correct information available‚ decision-making becomes an easier task. The model in which one would base his or her decision-making upon can be analyzed into six different factors: the problem at hand‚ the goals that want to be reached‚ alternatives‚ pros and cons‚ decision(s)‚ and reason(s) behind the decision(s). According to Richard
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Decision Making Managers are constantly called upon to make decisions in order to solve problems. Decision making and problem solving are ongoing processes of evaluating situations or problems‚ considering alternatives‚ making choices‚ and following them up with the necessary actions. Sometimes the decision-making process is extremely short‚ and mental reflection is essentially instantaneous. In other situations‚ the process can drag on for weeks or even months. The entire decision-making process
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DECISION ANALYSIS Definition: A systematic procedure based on thinking patterns used to make choices in the hopes that they are good ones. It involves considering the Elements of a good choice and weighing them against your MUSTS/WANTS and any risks before making a final decision: The book is full of mumbo jumbo on this‚ but it isn’t rocket science. We do some decision analysis almost every time we take a course of action. 1.Develop a Goal or Decision Statement. ACTION Oriented statement.
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DECISION TREES DECISION Decision trees may be described as the graphic display of the decision-making process. Let us take for example a situation where one must decide whether to go to a movie house or to stay at home and watch TV or a video tape. State of nature node Branches Good movie Decision node Movies Bad Movie Good program TV New program or cassette Poor program Rerun
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