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Why Basel III is doomed

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Why Basel III is doomed
• GLOBAL ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE PROGRAMME •

Why Basel II Failed and Why Any Basel III is Doomed

Ranjit Lall

October 2009

GEG Working Paper 2009/52

Global Economic Governance Programme
Centre for International Studies │ Department for Politics and International Relations

The Global Economic Governance Programme was established at University College, Oxford in
2003 to foster research and debate into how global markets and institutions can better serve the needs of people in developing countries. The three core objectives of the programme are: to conduct and foster research into international organizations and markets as well as new public-private governance regimes; to create and maintain a network of scholars and policy-makers working on these issues; to influence debate and policy in both the public and the private sector in developed and developing countries.
The Programme is directly linked to Oxford University’s Department of Politics and International
Relations and Centre for International Studies. It serves as an interdisciplinary umbrella within
Oxford drawing together members of the Departments of Economics, Law and Development
Studies working on these issues and linking them to an international research network. The
Programme has been made possible through the generous support of Old Members of University
College.

1

Ranjit Lall
Ranjit Lall presently is a research associate in International Relations at St. John’s College,
Oxford University. He studied PPE at Merton College and won the 2009 Gibbs Prize for best politics thesis at Oxford. His main research interest is in global financial regulation.

Abstract
According to conventional wisdom, the Basel II Accord – a set of capital adequacy standards for international banks drawn up by a committee of G-10 supervisors – is essential if we are to avoid another financial crisis. This paper argues that this conclusion is false: Basel II is not the solution to the



Bibliography: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 1988. International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 1993. The Supervisory Treatment of Market Risks. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 1995. An Internal Model-Based Approach to Market Risk Capital Requirements Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 1996. Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risks Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 1999. A New Capital Adequacy Framework. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 2001. Overview of the New Basel Capital Accord. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 2004a. International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: A Revised Framework Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 2004b. Changes to the Securitization Framework. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 2006. Results of the Fifth Quantitative Impact Study (QIS-5) Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. 2009. Enhancements to the Basel II Framework. Blagescu, Monica and Lloyd, Robert. 2006. Global Accountability Report: Holding power to account Blundell-Wignall, Adrian and Paul Atkinson. 2008. The Subprime Crisis: Causal Distortions and Regulatory Reform Bjerke, Magnus B. 2007. Experts, Banks and Politics: What Explains the Making of Basel II? Oslo: Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2003. Estimating the Capital Impact of Basel II in the United States (Staff Study) Financial Services Authority. 2009. The Turner Review: regulatory response to the global banking crisis George, Alexander L. and Andrew Bennett. 2005. Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences Griffith-Jones, S. and Avinash Persaud. 2003. ‘The Political Economy of Basel II and Implications for Emerging Economies’ Institute of International Finance. 1993. Report of the Working Group on Capital Adequacy. Institute of International Finance. 1997. Report of the Working Group on Capital Adequacy: Recommendations for Revising the Regulatory Capital Rules for Credit Risk Institute of International Finance. 2008. Interim Report of the IIF Committee on Market Best Practices International Monetary Fund. 1998. World Economic Outlook and International Capital Markets: Interim Assessment Jackson, Patricia et al. 1999. Capital Requirements and Bank Behavior: The Impact of the Basle Accord Jackson, Patricia, Pamela Nickell, and William Perraudin. 1999. Credit Risk Modeling. Kingsbury, Benedict, Nico Krisch, and Richard Stewart. 2005. ‘The Emergence of Global Administrative Law’ Mattli, Walter, and Ngaire Woods. 2009. The Politics of Global Regulation. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Putnam, Robert. 1988. Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games. Tarullo, Daniel K. 2008. Banking on Basel: The Future of International Financial Regulation. Treacy, William F., and Mark S. Carey. 1998. Credit Risk Rating at Large US Banks. Federal Reserve Bulletin (November) 898-921. US Department of the Treasury. 2009. Financial Regulatory Reform: A New Foundation. June. Wood, Duncan. 2005. Governing Global Banking: The Basel Committee and the Politics of Financial Globalization

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