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The Living Yield Curve at SmartMoney

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The Living Yield Curve at SmartMoney
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Sunday March 15, 2009 9:44 PM ET

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Published September 29, 2000 | A

AA

MARKETS

MY QUOTES

MOST ACTIVE

Index

Price

Chg.

% Chg.

DJIA

7223.98

53.92

0.75%

Nasdaq

1431.50

5.40

0.38%

PEOPLE TALK ABOUT interest rates going up and going down as if all rates moved together. The truth is, the

S&P 500

756.55

5.81

0.77%

Russell 2000

393.09

2.97

0.76%

rates on bonds of different maturities behave quite independently of each other, with short-term rates and long-

10 Yr Bond

2.95

0.09

3.15%

term rates often moving in opposite directions simultaneously. What's important is the overall pattern of interest-rate movement — and what it says about the future of the economy and Wall Street. Rates are like tea leaves, only much more reliable if you know how to read them.

S&P 400

The Living Yield Curve

The yield curve is what economists use to capture the overall movement of interest rates (which are known as
"yields" in Wall Street parlance). Plot today's yields for various maturities of U.S. Treasury bills and bonds on a graph and you've got today's curve. As you can see on the adjoining chart, the line begins on the left with the shortest maturity — three-month T-bills — and ends on the right with the longest — 30-year Treasury Bonds.

Charting the Curve

Wilshire 5000

7626.27

-

456.71

Nasdaq 100

1168.52

DJ Transportation

2419.58

-

NA

NA

1.99

0.44%

3.81

0.33%

NA

NA

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