Risk Terrorism
Concepts of Terrorism
Analysis of the rise, decline, trends and risk
December, 2008
Deliverable 5, Workpackage 3
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction........................................................................................................................ 4
PART A. .................................................................................................................................. 5
1. TERRORISM RISE AND FALL: ROOT AND TRIGGER CAUSES AND
CAUSES FOR DECLINE ............................................................................................................ 5
1.1 Scholarly Research Overview....................................................................................................... 6
General Qualitative Analyses of Causes of Terrorism ............................................................ 7
Psychological Research on Causes of Terrorism....................................................................... 9
Empirical Analyses of Causes of Terrorism............................................................................... 10
1.2 Theoretical Framework ................................................................................................................. 11
Approaches to Terrorism Analysis................................................................................................ 13
1.3 List of Root and Trigger Causes of Terrorism ...................................................................... 15
Root Causes.......................................................................................................................................... 15
Trigger Causes..................................................................................................................................... 18
1.4 Most Relevant Root and Trigger Causes................................................................................ 19
1.5 Concluding
Analysis of the rise, decline, trends and risk
December, 2008
Deliverable 5, Workpackage 3
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction........................................................................................................................ 4
PART A. .................................................................................................................................. 5
1. TERRORISM RISE AND FALL: ROOT AND TRIGGER CAUSES AND
CAUSES FOR DECLINE ............................................................................................................ 5
1.1 Scholarly Research Overview....................................................................................................... 6
General Qualitative Analyses of Causes of Terrorism ............................................................ 7
Psychological Research on Causes of Terrorism....................................................................... 9
Empirical Analyses of Causes of Terrorism............................................................................... 10
1.2 Theoretical Framework ................................................................................................................. 11
Approaches to Terrorism Analysis................................................................................................ 13
1.3 List of Root and Trigger Causes of Terrorism ...................................................................... 15
Root Causes.......................................................................................................................................... 15
Trigger Causes..................................................................................................................................... 18
1.4 Most Relevant Root and Trigger Causes................................................................................ 19
1.5 Concluding
Bibliography: Augusteijn, Joost, From public defiance to guerilla warfare. The radicalisation of the Irish Republican Army – a comparative analysis, 1916-1921 (Amsterdam 1994) Moloney, Ed, A secret history of the IRA (New York, 2002). Coogan, Tim Pat, The IRA (London 1995) English, Richard, Armed struggle Darby, John, ‘Northern Ireland: The background to the Peace Process’ (2003)retrieved from http://cain.ulst.ac.uk/events/peace/darby03.htm Holland, Jack, Hope against history. The Ulster conflict (London 1999). Coogan, Tim Pat, The IRA, (London 1995) p. 351. BBC, 2008C, http://www.nio.gov.uk/first_report_on_decommissioning_-_oct_2001.pdf. Consulted 26-8-2008 BBC, 2008D, http://www.nio.gov.uk/iicd_report_26_sept_2005.pdf September 24, 2008 database, 2008B, Accessed September 22, 2008 Mickolus, Edward F., et al., International Terrorism: Attributes of Terrorist Events, 1968-2002,Dunn Loring, VA: Vinyard Software, 2003 see online: http://www.uib.no/people/sspje/TWEED.htm. Consulted October 1, 2008 Ranstorp, M. and Wilkison, P. ed., Terrorism and human rights, (New York 2008). 5, 2007.