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Orange Juice Competition
Estimating Price Elasticities with Theory-Based Priors
Author(s): Alan L. Montgomery and Peter E. Rossi
Source: Journal of Marketing Research, Vol. 36, No. 4, (Nov., 1999), pp. 413-423
Published by: American Marketing Association
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3151997
Accessed: 22/07/2008 16:25
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ALAN MONTGOMERY PETER ROSSI*
L.
E. and The authors show how price elasticity estimates can be improved in demand systems that involve multiple brands and stores. They treat these demand models in a hierarchical Bayesian framework. Unlike in more standard Bayesian hierarchical treatments, the authors use prior information based on the restrictions imposed by additive utilitymodels. In an additive utilitymodel approach, price elasticities are driven by a general substitution parameter as well as



References: G. (1989),"A Unified to andP.Rossi(1991),"Quality and Berndt, E. and A. Silk (1993), "Consistency Requirements and the Specification of Asymmetric Attraction Models of Aggregate MarketShare,"working paper, MassachusettsInstituteof and K. Wisniewski (1989), "Price-InducedPatterns of Competition,"MarketingScience, 5 (4), 112-24. Boatwright,P. and P. Rossi (1997), "Account Level Modeling for Trade Promotion:An Application of a ConstrainedParameter Christen,M., S. Gupta,J. Porter,R. Staelin, and D. Wittink(1997), "Using Market-LevelData to UnderstandPromotionEffects in Cooper, L.G., D. Klapper, and A. Inoue (1996), "CompetitiveComponent Analysis: A New Approach to CalibratingAsymmetric Market-Share Models," Journal of MarketingResearch, Deaton, A. and J. Muellbauer(1980), Economics and Consumer Behavior Gelfand, A. et al. (1990), "Illustrationof Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling," Journal of the Kamakura,W. and G. Russell (1989), "A Probabilistic Choice Model for MarketSegmentationand Elasticity Structure," Montgomery, A. (1997), "Creating Micro-MarketingStrategies Scanner Data," MarketingScience, 16 (4), Newton, M. and A. Raftery(1994), "ApproximateBayesian Inference with the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap,"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 56, 3-48. Villas-Boas, M. and R. Winer (1996), "Endogeneity in Brand Choice Models," working paper, University of California,

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