Preview

Independent Swing Voters Analysis

Good Essays
Open Document
Open Document
268 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Independent Swing Voters Analysis
Describing what an independent swing voter is must be explored before any provable thesis can be made. Among political scientist this has been attempted by without achieving any common definition or common metrics (Shaw 2008, 75). Nevertheless, generalizing a consensus of collective thoughts it can be narrowed down to workable definition. William G. Mayer wrote that few studies or clear definition of independent swing voters even exists, but no lack of using either term “independent” or “swing voters” together or separately does (Mayer 2008, 1). Mayer continues the attempt to define them as, “a voter that will vote for either party” (Mayer 2008, 1). The post-Vietnam deterioration of both parties leaves a segment of voters unwilling to identify

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Best Essays

    MKT 575

    • 4735 Words
    • 7 Pages

    Althaus, Scott. 2003. Collective Preferences in Democratic Politics: Opinion Surveys and the Will of the…

    • 4735 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    The correlations between a candidate running for election and a voter who participates in the election, in terms of support and participation, often involve the use of shared attributes to explain how said correlations have an impact on the outcome of the election. In a representative democracy such as the United States, the belief is that those who vote in elections wield the power to select government officials, who then in turn create, uphold, or interpret the law of the land accordingly. Those who participate in elections, therefore, believe that the candidate they select will make decisions or introduce legislature according to the beliefs that those who voted share with one another. A voter or a group of voters are more likely to support a candidate if they share at least one attribute with one another. In order to understand how candidate selection based on belief is accomplished, an account of how exactly comparisons between the candidate and the voter must be made to accommodate a multitude of potential attributes. Both physical attributes, such as race, and non-physical attributes, such as political ideology, can be used to compare and contrast a candidate with a voter. With this data, we can then predict the outcome between a certain attribute that a voter shares (or does not share) with a candidate and the support that candidate receives from that conglomerate.…

    • 3394 Words
    • 14 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Long term factors are today increasingly dropping in terms of their input in shaping voting behaviour. For example there has been a decreasing level of people who strongly support a part. “Partisan…

    • 1089 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    First, Teixeira points to individual, psychological, and cultural explanations. Then, Piven and Cloward indicate to government and institutional evidence especially within parties. Finally, Putnam stresses social and environmental factors including diminishing social capital and civic engagement that have contributed to the voter turnout decline. A major factor that the authors disagree upon is how large the role of education level plays in whether Americans vote. Teixeira and Piven and Cloward claim that education is an important variable in determining voter turnout and that those who are not well-educated often do not vote. While the two respective works offer different reasons for why the lesser educated Americans do not vote, they both agree that the lowest class suffers the most. This is true in terms of both structural and psychological reasons. First, Parties do not mobilize these voters and they know a lot less about the registration process and about politics itself. Additionally, educated people are more likely to participate in social connectivity and politics, and therefore aren’t declining at as steep of a…

    • 977 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    In general terms, the weeks leading up to a federal election changes the dynamics of…

    • 2250 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Better Essays

    The American system of government is democratic. Democracy is a form of government in which people choose leaders by voting. In America, they hold elections at the local, state, and federal level. In the elections the voters choose among the leaders of political parties for the open office position. America has two major political parties: Democrat and Republican. There are more political parties than that, but with the way the electoral process works most third parties are doomed to fail since they will not get the popular vote. Though for President and Vice President the popular vote does not matter since the Electoral College chooses the President and Vice President. Many eligible voters have decided to “protest vote” meaning not voting…

    • 1414 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    Voter turnout is defined as a number of voters who actually cast ballots in an election, to a percentage of people eligible to register and vote. About half of the voting age population historically does not vote, even in presidential elections. The voter turnout is even lower in off year congressional and state elections. Turn out in local elections is even lower. Voter turn out is always higher in years with a presidential election. Voter turn out has generally declined since the 1960’s. Voter turnout can take a huge upswing when the elections have highly contested issues with differing candidate platforms.…

    • 599 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    More than fifty years after the publication of The American Voter, debates over the nature of partisanship and the extent of party polarization continue (see Fiorina & Abrams, 2008; Hetherington, 2009). While early studies viewed partisanship as a manifestation of other group affiliations (Berelson, Lazarsfeld, and McPhee 1954; Campbell et al. 1960), more recent work suggests that party is an important affiliation in its own right (Green, Palmquist, and Schickler 2004; Greene 1999; Huddy, Mason, and Aarøe 2010; Iyengar, Sood, and Lelkes 2012). As a form of social identity, party affiliation generates positive evaluations of the in-group and correspondingly hostile evaluations of political opponents. This divergence in affect toward the in and out parties -- affective polarization -- has increased substantially over the past four decades (Haidt and…

    • 2551 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    1992 Election Essay

    • 1005 Words
    • 5 Pages

    The 1992 presidential election was one of nit picking and change amongst voter expectancy. Since the White House was made into a Republican Stronghold for the previous 12Upload File years, and Bush had failed to deliver on his 88' promise not to raise taxes, there was a larger differential of angered voters willing to waiver their ballot from one party to another. With the beginning of the primaries came specification on policy, closely heated margins, and resentment.…

    • 1005 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    American Voters

    • 1595 Words
    • 7 Pages

    “Just How Stupid Are We? Facing the Truth about the American Voter,” by Rick Shenkman is a book with an eye opening experience. It was one of the best-selling books on the market in 2008 for a different look into the political issues. By Shenkman asking such a forward provoking question, it automatically catches the reader’s attention. It has you go through an immense variety of approaches and opinions. According to Shenkman, Democrats and Republicans point fingers on who’s to blame for the 2008 presidential elections. Most people think it all had to do with the “bad Bush years” in administration, but Shenkman is convinced that it is “too easy to blame our mess on Mr. Bush” (Shenkman xi). Shenkman is questioning the American voter directly; he believes that we The People should be questioned for the root of the problem. Shenkman’s explains that he has five characteristics of stupidity, but the most important are; ignorance, negligence, and how the American voter depends on myths. (Shenkman 14).…

    • 1595 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    Realigning elections are turning points that cause a significant shift in the motive of politics and in the way voters align themselves. These elections occur when new issues arise that divide an existing party causing a change in policy. Political Scientists have discovered certain characteristics that lead to realigning elections. The pattern include “Intense Voter involvement, disruptions of traditional voting patterns, changes in the relationships of power within the broader political community, and the formation of new and durable electoral groupings”( Magleby, 2009, Pg. 185).…

    • 346 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Voter Turnout Analysis

    • 1475 Words
    • 6 Pages

    First, Models 1-4 suggest that turnout does not have a significant impact on party strength. In the national party strength models, turnout does indeed have a significant and positive impact on party strength. This finding makes perfect sense. At the start of the period of study, whether one voted was highly dependent on class. Today, this relationship is not as strong. Figures 3.3 and 3.4 show a distinctive upward trend in the data. Moreover, midterm effects are visible. It makes it reasonable to expect that more new voters were showing up at the polls and voting for at least some Republican candidates in high profile races. Turnout is not by itself significant in any of the state party strength models. This suggests that candidates such as Senator Trent Lott and President Ronald Reagan may have been able to convince new southern voters to show up and vote for them, but those new voters continued to vote for Democratic candidates in state level…

    • 1475 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Effects of Voter Turnout

    • 803 Words
    • 4 Pages

    What effects voter turnout? There have been many studies that can show empirical evidence as to what effects voter participation and how it is affected. I analyzed two very descriptive political science articles referring to voter turnout. One was a field experiment on the effects of personal canvassing versus other types of contact, such as direct mailing and telephone calls. The second article explained a natural experiment that analyzed voter turnout due to political knowledge and the causal effects of the better informed people on the propensity to vote.…

    • 803 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Finally, an idea called partisan dealignment suggests that participation has fallen in the UK. This idea means that people increasingly identify less closely with political parties than they used to. Traditionally, many working class people, for example, got involved with and voted for Labour out of class loyalty. Such loyalty to a political party has declined significantly over the past 30 years, and suggests that fewer people are taking an interest in politics and participation.…

    • 436 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Minor Parties

    • 1027 Words
    • 5 Pages

    Salka, William M. "The Impact of Minor Parties on Electoral Competition: An Examination of US." N.p., n.d. Web. 18 Mar. 2013.…

    • 1027 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays