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Forecast of Bharti Airtel Subscribers

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Forecast of Bharti Airtel Subscribers
Forecast of Bharti Airtel Subscribers

Economics I - Project

GROUP 1

ABSTRACT

Analysis of Bharti airtel’s subscriber base was done using Time series analytical tools to develop predictive models. Different models linear, exponential were developed and December 2009 forecast was made using them. Our research revealed that subscriber growth is non linear thus best explained and predicted by exponential curve such as logistic curve.

Introduction

Tele-communication has evolved with time and in recent years with the growth in technology, economy and spending power of the people, the scope of telecommunication has expanded manifold across the world. The scenario in India is of the similar nature and the telecom industry is growing rapidly.
Telecom giant Bharti Airtel is the flagship company of Bharti Enterprises. The Bharti Group has a diverse business portfolio and has created global brands in the telecommunication sector. Bharti has recently forayed into retail business as Bharti Retail Pvt. Ltd. under a MoU with Wal-Mart for the cash & carry business. It has successfully launched an international venture with EL Rothschild Group to export fresh agri products exclusively to markets in Europe and USA and has launched Bharti AXA Life Insurance Company Ltd under a joint venture with AXA, world leader in financial protection and wealth management
Airtel belongs to Bharti Airtel Limited, India’s largest integrated and the first private telecom services provider with a footprint in all the 23 telecom circles. Bharti Airtel since its inception has been at the forefront of technology and has steered the course of the telecom sector in the country with its world class products and services. The businesses at Bharti Airtel have been structured into three individual strategic business units (SBU’s) - Mobile Services, Airtel Telemedia Services & Enterprise Services. The mobile business provides mobile & fixed



References: [1] Cellular operators of India www.coai.com [2]Census 2001 censusindia.gov.in [3] Regression selection strategy & revealed priors; Edward Learner, J.of American stat Assoc, Vol-73 no-363(sept-1978), pp-580-587. (jstor.org/stables/2286604) [4] The Logistic curve: A fitting technique; D.F.Phipps., The Statician, Vol-24,No-2,(Jan-1975),pp-129-136. [5] The Acceptability of Regression solutions : Another look at computational accuracy.,Albert E. Beaton, Donald R. Rubin & Jhon L.Barone., .J. of American stat Assoc, Vol-71 no-353(March,1976), pp-158-168. [6] Fitting a Logistic Curve to Data ,Fabio Cavallini, The College Mathematics Journal, Vol. 24, No. 3 (May, 1993), pp. 247-253. [7] Bharti Airtel official website www.airtel.co.in

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