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Dividend Analysis of Banking Industry

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Dividend Analysis of Banking Industry
Leading Determinants of Dividend Policy: A Case Study of Indian Banking Industry

ABSTRACT: Dividend policy is a critical decision area in the field of finance. The subject of corporate dividend policy has captivated finance scholars for a long time, resulting in intensive theoretical modeling and empirical investigation. But several questions related to dividend decisions remain perplexing because of diverse and conflicting theories and evermore due to diverse empirical results. This paper attempts to give a focused overview of the important dividend theories and identify the leading factors that determine the dividend behavior in the corporate financial management. Dividend behavior of Indian Banking Industry has been analyzed using various econometric techniques. It may be concluded that lagged dividend, PAT, interest are the most important factors affecting dividend decisions of the industry whereas capital expenditure is not. However, Target payout ratio of the industry has decreased to 44% in 2005-06 from 71% in 1996-97. The paper may serve as ready reference for future researches in this field of corporate finance vis-à-vis Dividend Decision Policy.
Key Words: Dividend Decisions; Lintner 's Model; Agency Cost; Information Asymmetry; Free Cash Flow Hypothesis; Granger Causality Test; Determinants of Dividend Policy; Dividend Decisions in Developing Countries, Indian Banking Industry.

INTRODUCTION: Banking is an integral part of Indian financial system as it plays very important role in mobilizing savings from various sectors, which is the foundation for growth and development of an economy. Indian policymakers at the national level deliberately shifted for a series of economic reforms in the wake of a serious balance-of-payments crisis in 1991. To start with the reforms process, the central plank was to carry out reforms in the financial sector with the banking being the mainstay of financial intermediation. The objective of the banking sector



Bibliography: Bauer, L. and Bhattacharyya, N. 2006. Rethinking Lintner: An Alternative Dynamic Model of Dividends”, http://hermes.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=914197. Accessed on December 15, 2006. Bhat, R. and Pandey, I.M. 1994. Dividend Decision: A Study of Managers’ Perceptions, Decision, Vol. 21, No.s 1 & 2, January-June. Bhattacharyya, S. 1979. Imperfect Information, dividend policy, and "the bird in the hand" fallacy, Bell Journal of Economics, 10, pp 259-270. Black, F. 1976. The Dividend Puzzle, Journal of Portfolio Management, 2, pp 5-8. Brealey, Richard A. and Myers, Stewart C. 2002. Principles of corporate finance, Boston : Irwin / McGraw-Hill. Brittan, J.A. 1966 Corporate Dividend Policy, Washington: the Brooking Institution. DeAngelo, H. DeAngelo, L. and Skinner, Douglas J. 2000. Special Dividends and the Evolution of Dividend Signaling, Journal of Financial Economics, 57(3), pp. 309. Dhameja, N.L. 1978. Control of Companies and their Dividend Practices, Margin, January. Dhrymes, P.J. and Kurz, M. 1964. On the Dividend Policy of Electric Utilities, Review of Economic and Statistics, Feb. Easterbrook, Frank H. 1984. Two Agency-Cost Explanations of Dividends, American Economic Review, 74, pp 650-659. Fama, Eugene F., and Babiak, H. 1968. Dividend Policy: An Empirical Analysis, Journal of American Statistical Association, 63, pp 1132-1161 Frankfurter, George M., and Wood, Bob G Friend, I. and Puckett, M. 1964. Dividend and Stock Prices, American Economic Review, Sep. Granger, C. 1969. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods, Econometrica, 37, pp. 424-438. Jensen, Michael C., 1986. Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers, American Economic Review, 76, pp 323-329. John, Kose and Williams, Joseph. 1985. Dividends, dilution and taxes: A Signaling Equilibrium, Journal of Finance, 40, pp 1053-1070. Khurana, P.K. 1985. Corporate Dividend Policy in India, New Delhi: Panchsheel Publishers. Krishnamurty, K. and Sastry, D.U. 1971. Some Aspects of Corporate Behavior in India: A Cross Section Analysis of Investment, Dividend and External Financing for the Chemical Industry: 1962-1967, Indian Economic Review, October. Lintner, J. 1956. Distribution of Incomes of Corporations among Dividends, Retained Earnings, and Taxes, American Economic Review, 46, pp 97-113. Mahapatra, R.P. and Panda, B.K. 1995. Determinants of Corporate Dividend Policy and the Target Payment Ratio, Productivity, July-Sep, vol. 36, no.2. Mahapatra, R.P. and Sahu, P.K. 1993. A Note on Determinants of Corporate Dividend Behavior in India – An Econometric Analysis, Decision, Jan-Mar. Mahapatra, R.P. 1992. Corporate Dividend Behavior in India, Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, Berhampur University. Miller, M. and Modigliani, F. 1961. Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares, Journal of Business, 34, pp. 411-433. Miller, Merton H. and Rock, Kevin. 1985. Dividend Policy under Asymmetric Information, Journal of Finance, 40, pp 1031-1051. Mohanty, P. 1999. Dividend and Bonus Policies of the Indian Companies, Vikalpa, vol.24, no. 4, October-December, pp. 35-42. Narasimhan, M.S. and Vijayalakshmi, S. 2002. Impact of Agency Cost on Leverage and Dividend Policies, the ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, vol. 8, no. 2, March, pp. 16-25. Slovin, Myron B., Sushka, Marie E. and Poloncheck, John 1994. Dividend Reductions and Commercial Banks, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5739. Accessed on Nov. 12, 2006. Smith, D.C. 1963. Corporate Saving Behavior, The Canadian Journal of Economic and Political science, August.

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