Corporate Finance
Table of Content
Executive Summary 3
1. Introduction 4 1.1 Overview of Harvey Norman Holding Limited 4 1.2 Major Competitor 5 1.2.1 JB Hi-Fi 5 1.2.2 Woolworth 5
2. Capital Structures 6 2.1 Types of Funding 6 2.2 Recent Trends of Leverage 7 2.3 Comparison of capital structure with similar companies 9 2.4 Capital expenditures and its financing 10 2.5 Important factors influencing the use of debt financing 10 2.5.1 Tax Advantage 10 2.5.2 Corporate Tax Rate 11 2.5.3 Credit rating 11 2.5.4 Interest rate 11 2.5.5 Company’s Industry 12 2.5.6 Company’s growth rate 12 2.5.7 Some other arguments about Harvey Norman 12 2.6 Evidence of financial distress 13 2.7 Optimal Capital Structure 14
3. Dividend Policy 15 3.1 HVN’s Dividend history 15 3.2 Competitors Dividend Analysis 16 3.2.1 David Jones Limited (DJS) 16 3.2.2 JB HI-FI Limited (JBH) 17 3.2.3 Comparison 17 3.3 Alternatives of Paying Dividends 18 3.4 Company’s Characteristics 19 3.5 Optimal Dividend Policy 19
4. Valuation 20 4.1 Methodology of valuation 20 4.2 Operating revenue estimation and Future free cash-flow 20 4.2.1 Performance of HVN: 20 4.2.2 Future prospects: 22 4.2.3 Operating Revenue Forecasting: 22 4.2.4 Free cash flow: 25 4.3 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 25 4.3.1 Value of Debt and cost of debt: 25 4.3.2 Value of equity and cost of equity: 26 4.3.3 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): 27 4.4 Value of Harvey Norman Holding Ltd and estimated share price: 28 4.5 Sensitivity Analysis: 28 4.5.1 Operating revenue and share price: 29 4.5.2 Share price as a function of terminal FCF growth and WACC: 30 4.6 Share price assessment and investment decision: 30
Conclusion 32
Bibliography 34
Appendix 36 Appendix: 4.1: Regression Statistics, Beta of the market 36
Executive Summary 3
1. Introduction 4 1.1 Overview of Harvey Norman Holding Limited 4 1.2 Major Competitor 5 1.2.1 JB Hi-Fi 5 1.2.2 Woolworth 5
2. Capital Structures 6 2.1 Types of Funding 6 2.2 Recent Trends of Leverage 7 2.3 Comparison of capital structure with similar companies 9 2.4 Capital expenditures and its financing 10 2.5 Important factors influencing the use of debt financing 10 2.5.1 Tax Advantage 10 2.5.2 Corporate Tax Rate 11 2.5.3 Credit rating 11 2.5.4 Interest rate 11 2.5.5 Company’s Industry 12 2.5.6 Company’s growth rate 12 2.5.7 Some other arguments about Harvey Norman 12 2.6 Evidence of financial distress 13 2.7 Optimal Capital Structure 14
3. Dividend Policy 15 3.1 HVN’s Dividend history 15 3.2 Competitors Dividend Analysis 16 3.2.1 David Jones Limited (DJS) 16 3.2.2 JB HI-FI Limited (JBH) 17 3.2.3 Comparison 17 3.3 Alternatives of Paying Dividends 18 3.4 Company’s Characteristics 19 3.5 Optimal Dividend Policy 19
4. Valuation 20 4.1 Methodology of valuation 20 4.2 Operating revenue estimation and Future free cash-flow 20 4.2.1 Performance of HVN: 20 4.2.2 Future prospects: 22 4.2.3 Operating Revenue Forecasting: 22 4.2.4 Free cash flow: 25 4.3 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 25 4.3.1 Value of Debt and cost of debt: 25 4.3.2 Value of equity and cost of equity: 26 4.3.3 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): 27 4.4 Value of Harvey Norman Holding Ltd and estimated share price: 28 4.5 Sensitivity Analysis: 28 4.5.1 Operating revenue and share price: 29 4.5.2 Share price as a function of terminal FCF growth and WACC: 30 4.6 Share price assessment and investment decision: 30
Conclusion 32
Bibliography 34
Appendix 36 Appendix: 4.1: Regression Statistics, Beta of the market 36
Bibliography: -licensee=finanalysis (accessed 11 October 2009) http://www.aspectfinancial.com.au.ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/af/company/annualsummary?ASXCode=HVN&xtm-licensee=finanalysis accessed 23 October 2009 International Monetary Fund http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2009/02/weodata/weorept.aspx?sy=2007&ey=2014&scsm=1&ssd=1&sort=country&ds=.&br=1&c=193&s=NGDP_R%2CNGDP_RPCH&grp=0&a=&pr.x=42&pr.y=10#notes (accessed 23 Oct 2009) Reserve Bank of Australia (2009) http://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/Bulletin/F02hist.xls (accessed 23 Oct 2009)